A presidential candidate who will entice Western especially as a block to their side,will be several steps ahead

Eastern,Central and Rift Valley are the only regions where voters come out in their tyranny during election day to vote,....the rest Western Kenya included will be wobbling with their votes waiting to be coerced,begged and pleaded to go cast their votes.
Most of these regions have been in opposition and have never given value and meaning to their votes. 

With a possibility of Lonzo being on the Ballot and the Mountain sliding away from President William Ruto's clutch,...he finds himself in a limbo and needs to consolidate votes from other regions if he has to win himself a second term.
Western Kenya with her numbers might be the new saving Grace for 2027 presidential candidates. 

Forget those saying our political dynamics have changed to issues based and other amorphous terms they're throwing around like oooh we're tribeless,we're faceless we're enraged.

If for anything,...Gachagua's impeachment jerked us back to the deep ends of tribalism,...vain and emotional politics of settling scores and that will never change three years to elections. 
I read so many posts and comments from the so called young liberators,intellectuals and woke generation defending G purely on tribal lines and "woiye" sympathies.

So No! We will still retreat back to our tribal and regional cocoons then gamble with our choices again In 2027.

President William Ruto in particular should start making inroads and concentrate with Western Kenya and other regions away from the Mountain.

He cannot afford to get sparse votes in other regions after already loosing Centro and Eastern,...that will be suicidal. 

A presidential candidate who will entice Western especially as a block to their side,will be several steps ahead.

These are the registered voters in different Counties within Western region according to the official 2022 IEBC register....

Don't know why Trans-Nzoia was lumped with R VALLEY Counties but for the relevance of my post let me put it here.

Vihiga-310,043

Bungoma -646,589

Kakamega -844,551

Busia-416,756

Transnzoia-398,981

Interesting to note, Raila Odinga still has a say in Counties Oparanya and Mudavadi hail from that is Vihiga,Kakamega,Busia.

Luhyas living in these Counties have always been shepherd into voting a certain way by the influence of Raila.

The Counties of Trans-Nzoia and Bungoma will need every Presidential candidate to come through Wetangula or Natembeya. 

The two Counties detached themselves from ODM and Raila politics since 2013.

Last election saw President William Ruto winning Bungoma and a substantial amount of votes from Trans-Nzoia. 

Natembeya controls Transnzoia while Wetangula Bungoma 

1.Mudavadi. 

He brings on the table soft politics and optics that are extremely important in every Government,..

He brought no numbers but somehow he found himself as one of the beacons holding KK administration in place.

I don't think President William Ruto will drop him in 2027

2.Oparanya. 

He has a say in Kakamega thanks to the massive development projects he brought on his 10 years stint as Governor. 

His Close Association with Raila saw him deliver Kakamega and Vihiga to the opposition in 2022 elections.

He is the owner of the numbers on the other part of Western and he'll patch camp where Raila will be.

3. Wetangula 

A foxy and shrewd politician with the aggressiveness and stamina of a leopard.

He has perfected the art of wiggling his way into every coalition bargaining with Bungoma as his strong hold.

With a barrage of party wrangles and luhya "uprising " it's a wait and see if these events will dent his political muscles. 

4.Natembeya 

He's the new kid on the block,A charismatic leader, who is outspoken and bold.

He's extremely endearing to a big chunk of the luhya population who feel that he's the Northern Star that will lead the community to the new dawn. 

He's a darling of Generation Z who see him as a voice they thirst and a safe pair of hands that will steer the country to greatness 

The Euphoria of 2022 gave him Transnzoia County as his Kraal,yanking it away from Wetangula FK. 

Any Presidential candidate who will be able to get to them first will have an upper hand. 

But if Western Kenya will disintegrate and pull in different directions as they always do..the ripple effects will hit hard on President William Ruto's" numbering "

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